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1/6/2016 à 11h00: Séminaire de Jakob RUNGE (LMD/ENS)

Causal inference methods in the geosciences
Quand ? Le 01/06/2016,
de 11:00 à 12:00
Où ? salle 236, 29 Rue d'Ulm
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 What can we learn about interactions between subprocesses of the Earth system from studying time series measurements? The focus of this talk will be statistical methods of causal inference to (1) reconstruct causal associations, (2) quantify causal strength, and (3) identify causal pathways in the reconstructed interaction network. These approaches build on the causal discovery methods put forward by Peter Spirtes, Judea Pearl's causal effect framework, and also information-theoretic ideas. Applications of this framework to tropical teleconnections of ENSO and its interaction with the Indian Monsoon will be discussed.